In Italy, the contagion curve “has slowed down the decline and has had a countertrend this week ”. Thus the president of the Higher Institute of Health Silvio Brusaferro at the press conference on data analysis of the regional monitoring of the control room. "There is an increase in the rate of growth of cases - remarked Brusaferro - as evidenced by the Rt index which is above 1 in many regions".
“We are at 166 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants in 7 days in terms of incidence and there is great variability between regions, with Veneto maintaining a high incidence. But all the regions have a higher impact in order to pass from a mitigation phase to a control phase with individual tracking ". According to the data provided today by the Ministry of Health, the new positive cases are 17.533 (yesterday 18.020). The swabs carried out are 140.267 (yesterday 121.275). Overall, the positive cases are currently 570.389 (yesterday 571.075); hospitalized patients are 2.587 while in home isolation they are found 544.489 people infected with Covid-19.
Growing contagion curve
By virtue of the current situation the regions of Calabria, Emilia Romagna, Lombardy, Sicily and Veneto pass through the orange zone. The Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, on the basis of the data and indications of the control room, will sign a new ordinance in the evening which will go into effect from Sunday 10 January until Friday 15 January. Date on which the Dpcm will expire.
Experts note that in the period 15-28 December 2020, the average transmissibility index Rt calculated on symptomatic cases was equal to 1,03. A figure that has been increasing for four weeks and for the first time, after six weeks, above one. These data emerged from the weekly monitoring of the Ministry of Health-Higher Institute of Health (Iss).
Delicate phase of the epidemic
The epidemic lies “In a delicate phase which seems to herald a new rapid increase in the number of cases in the coming weeks. That is, if they were not rigorously defined and implemented more stringent mitigation measuresthe". This is another fact that emerged from the analysis of regional monitoring. In fact it has been remarked that 12 regions and autonomous provinces are at high risk this week.
Instead, another 8 are at moderate risk, including two at high risk of progression in the coming weeks. Finally, there is only one low-risk Region (Tuscany). This is always highlighted by the weekly monitoring of the Higher Institute of Health and the Ministry of Health. Meanwhile, the national vaccination campaign continues. To date, about 327 doses of Vaccine, equal to 47 percent of the available doses.
